Phase 2 User's Guide


 
 

User's Guide to the VEMAP Phase 2 Database

Updated: 12 Oct 2010

Nan Rosenbloom
Timothy G.F. Kittel
Cristina Kaufman
Steve Aulenbach
 

Ecosystem Dynamics and the Atmosphere Section
Climate and Global Dynamics Division
National Center for Atmospheric Research


List of Tables and Figures

Table of Contents


1 Introduction

1.1 VEMAP Objectives and Experimental Design

Vegetation-Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP) is a large, collaborative, multi-agency program to simulate and understand ecosystem dynamics for the continental United States.  The collaboration, led by scientists from NCAR and the University of Montana, includes collaborators from Oregon State University, Colorado State University, The Ecosystems Center of the Marine Biological Labs, University of Virginia, University of Sheffield, UK, University of Lund, Sweden, and the Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Germany.  The project involves the development of common data sets for model input.  These include a high-resolution topographically-adjusted climate history of the United States from 1895-1993 on a 0.5º grid, with soils and vegetation cover.  The vegetation cover data set now includes a detailed agricultural data base based on USDA statistics and remote sensing, as well as natural vegetation (also derived from satellite imagery).  The climate data set was developed at NCAR by Tim Kittel (EDAS) and Nan Rosenbloom (EDAS), with collaboration from Oregon State University (Chris Daly) and NOAA's National Climate Data Center (NCDC).  Two principal model experiments were run.  First, a series of ecosystem models were run from 1895 to 1993 to simulate current ecosystem biogeochemistry.  Second, these same models were integrated forward using the output from two climate system models (CCCma (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis) and Hadley Centre models) using climate results translated into the VEMAP grid and re-adjusted for high-resolution topography for the simulated period 1993-2100.

The completed Phase 1 (equilibrium response) of the project was structured as a sensitivity analysis, with factorial combinations of climate (current and projected under doubled CO2), atmospheric CO2, and mapped and model-generated vegetation distributions. The highly structured nature of the intercomparison allowed rigorous analysis of results, while constraining the range of questions explored. Maps of climate, climate change scenarios, soil properties, and potential natural vegetation were prepared as common boundary conditions and driving variables for the models (Kittel et al. 1995). As a consequence, differences in model results arose only from differences among model algorithms and their implementation rather than from differences in inputs. Results from VEMAP I are reported in VEMAP Members (1995) and selected files are available through the VEMAP1 results web page.

VEMAP completed Phase 2 (transient dynamics) analysis and model intercomparisons in late 2001, with  publications in preparation. The objectives of this phase were to compare time-dependent ecological responses of biogeochemical models and coupled biogeochemical-biogeographical models (Dynamic Global Vegetation Models, DGVMs) to historical and projected transient forcings across the conterminous United States.  These model experiments were driven by historical time series and projected transient scenarios of climate and atmospheric CO2.

VEMAP 2  also produced a beta release, 75 year (1922-1996) dataset for Alaska.  The domain of the Alaskan dataset includes northwestern Canada.  Since this release was not been widely tested, please report errors or inconsistencies to the VEMAP data group.  This dataset was produced in parallel with the VEMAP 2 dataset for the conterminous U.S., using similar processing techniques.  However, in contrast to the conterminous U.S., where the historical time series for temperature and precipitation was gridded from monthly records, the climate record for Alaska was produced by creating gridded monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies from historical records and applying these anomalies to a gridded 1961-1990 baseline climatology.

VEMAP 2 supplemental datasets include 100 year detrended climate input dataset (TSPIN) and GCM simulations of 20th century climate (Suh) for the conterminous US.  A complementary 75 year Alaska spinup dataset (TSPINAK), and a GCM simulation of 20th century Alaska climate (SuhAK) are also available. We created the detrended spinup climates by first subtracting a 30yr moving window from the historical timeseries, thus creating a smoothed anomaly record that preserves the structure and much of the variability of the historical record. We then added back a constant value representing the first 15 years of the historical record by month (e.g., 1895-1909 for the conterminuous U.S., and 1922-1936 for Alaska). Adding this period mean to the anomaly field ensures a smooth transition from the detrended spinup period into the historical record.

VEMAP was funded by NASA, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), USDA Forest Service, and US Department of Energy, with additional support from the National Science Foundation.
 
 

1.2 Citations and User Access Acknowledgments


C
itations for the VEMAP Phase 2 database are:

Kittel, T.G.F., N.A. Rosenbloom, J.A. Royle, C. Daly, W.P. Gibson, H.H. Fisher, P. Thornton, D.N. Yates, S. Aulenbach, C. Kaufman, R. McKeown, D. Bachelet, D.S. Schimel, VEMAP2 Participants. 2004. VEMAP Phase 2 bioclimatic database. I. Gridded historical (20th) century climate for modeling ecosystem dynamics across the conterminous USA. Climate Research. vol 27. no. 2, p. 151-170. PDF

Kittel, T.G.F., N.A. Rosenbloom, C. Kaufman, J.A. Royle, C. Daly, H.H. Fisher, W.P. Gibson, S. Aulenbach, R. McKeown, D.S. Schimel, and VEMAP2 Participants (2000). VEMAP Phase 2 Historical and Future Scenario Climate Database. Available online from the VEMAP Data Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, (Boulder, Colorado).

Rosenbloom, N., T.G.F. Kittel, C. Kaufman, and S. Aulenbach. 2002. User’s Guide to the VEMAP Phase 2 Database. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO. Online document.

Link to other related VEMAP publications.


User Acknowledgments:

Users are requested to acknowledge that access to the dataset was provided by the VEMAP data group within the Ecosystem Dynamics and the Atmosphere Section, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Development of the VEMAP database was supported by NASA Mission to Planet Earth, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), USDA Forest Service Southern Region Global Change Research Program, and NSF-ATM Climate Dynamics Program through the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research's Climate System Modeling Program.



 

2  Access to VEMAP Community Datasets

2.1  The VEMAP Data Portal

The VEMAP Data Portal is a central collection of community datasets maintained and serviced by the NCAR Data Group.  These files represent a complete and current collection of VEMAP data files.  All data files available through the Data Portal have undergone extensive quality assurance.

2.2  UCAR World Wide Web [http access]

2.3  UCAR Anonymous FTP Server - ftp.ucar.edu

> ftp ftp.ucar.edu
Name: anonymous
Password: <your_login>
ftp> cd edas/vtrans
ftp> cd <subdirectory>
ftp> get <filename>

2.4 Transporting VEMAP Datasets via DODs

DODS is a software framework for scientific data networking designed to simplify all aspects of remote data access. DODS makes remote data accessible to VEMAP data users through familiar data analysis/visualization packages and APIs. Datasets can be subsetted remotely, allowing the user to retrieve only the data of interest local analysis. Browser-based access via DODS is also available to VEMAP data users at the Community Data Portal.

DODS uses a client/server architecture with DODS servers providing access to collections of data. The DODS clients request data from the servers using URLs to describe the desired data. Additional information on the DODS transport system is available at the Unidata site.


3 The VEMAP Grid

3.1 Conterminous U.S.

The grid used for the VEMAP coverage is a 0.5 degree latitude x 0.5 degree longitude grid covering the conterminous U.S. Grid edges are aligned with 1.0 degree and 0.5 degree latitude-longitude lines; grid centers are located at 0.25 degree and 0.75 degree latitude-longitude intersections. Latitude and longitude for each cell are included in the VEMAP dataset. The grid's minimum bounding rectangle (MBR) is defined by grid domain corners given in Table 1.

The full grid contains 5520 grid cells, with 115 columns and 48 rows (Figure 1).  Within the grid, 3261 cells are within the boundaries of the conterminous U.S. and predominantly covered by land. Background cells (ocean and inland water cells) are assigned the value of -9999.  The VEMAP 'mask', found in the header of each netCDF file, enumerates land cells from 1 to 3261; background cells are indicated by 0.

Table 1. VEMAP grid corners defining the minimum bounding rectangle (MBR).

 
Grid Position Longitude* Latitude
Lower Left Corner  -124.5deg.  25.0deg. 
Upper Right Corner  -67.0deg.  49.0deg. 
*Negative longitudes are degrees West.
Figure 1. Layout of the VEMAP gridded array, with grid cell ID numbers.
 

Column





-to-




115
Row 1 

...
115 

116  117  118  119 

...
230 

231 ...





-to- .

.

.
48 





... 
5520 

3.2 Alaska

The grid used for the VEMAP 2 Alaska coverage is a 0.5 degree latitude x 0.5 degree longitude grid covering Alaska and part of northwestern Canada. Grid edges are aligned with 1.0 degree and 0.5 degree latitude-longitude lines; grid centers are located at 0.25 degree and 0.75 degree latitude-longitude intersections. Latitude and longitude for each cell are included in the VEMAP 2 Alaska dataset. The grid's minimum bounding rectangle (MBR) is defined by grid domain corners given in Table 2.

The full grid contains 3024 grid cells, with 84 columns and 36 rows (Figure 2).  Within the grid, 1718 cells are within the boundaries of the domain and predominantly covered by land. Background cells (ocean and inland water cells) are assigned the value of -9999.  The VEMAP 'mask', found in the header of each netCDF file, identifies land cells as 1; background cells are indicated by 0.

Table 2. VEMAP grid corners defining the minimum bounding rectangle (MBR).

 
Grid Position Longitude* Latitude
Lower Left Corner  -170.50deg.  53.50deg. 
Upper Right Corner  -128.50deg.  71.50deg. 
*Negative longitudes are degrees West.
Figure 2. Layout of the VEMAP gridded array, with grid cell ID numbers.
 

Column





-to-




84
Row 1 

...
84 

85  86  87  88 

...
168 

169 ...





-to- .

.

.
36 





... 
3024 



4 NetCDF File Format

4.1 Description

The network Common Data Form, or netCDF, refers to a comprehensive interface, library and file format designed to create, access and share scientific data. It was developed by the Unidata Program Center in Boulder, Colorado. The VEMAP Phase 2 datasets are stored and distributed to the community in netCDF format.

4.2 Features

The interface provides many inherent capabilities. NetCDF data is:
1.  Self-Describing. A netCDF file includes information about the data it contains.

2.  Architecture-independent. A netCDF file is represented in a form that can be accessed by computers with different ways of storing integers, characters, and floating-point numbers.

3.  Direct-access. A small subset of a large dataset may be accessed efficiently, without first reading through all the preceding data.

4.  Appendable. Data can be appended to a netCDF dataset along one dimension without copying the dataset or redefining its structure. The structure of a netCDF dataset can be changed, though this sometimes causes the dataset to be copied.

5.  Sharable. One writer and multiple readers may simultaneously access the same netCDF file.

4.3 Installation and Use

Unidata maintains a list of software tools for manipulating and displaying netCDF datasets.

Unidata also maintains a collection of software libraries for C, Fortran, C++, Java, and perl that provide implementations of the interface. The netCDF source is freely available and can be obtained as a compressed tar file or a zip file from Unidata. Documentation, frequently asked questions, mailing lists, conventions, and searchable archives are available at the same site. Please refer questions about building or installing netCDF software to Unidata support.


5 Geographic Variables

Each VEMAP 2  datafile includes metadata describing the VEMAP grid. Additional ancillary variables defining cell area are described in more detail in the VEMAP Phase 1 Users Guide.

Table 3. Geographic variables.
Variable 

Name Code

Description Units
elev  Average grid cell elevation  meters
lat  Latitude of grid cell center  degrees and hundredths of a degree
lon  Longitude of grid cell center  degrees and hundredths of a degree
vveg  VEMAP vegetation classification  vegetation classification 
mask  VEMAP geog mask  0 = background; 1-3261= land cells
varea  Absolute area of a grid cell covered by land and within U.S. borders  km2

5.1 Geographic Variable Descriptions

5.1.1 Elevation (elev) [m]

Conterminous U.S.
Elevation for the conterminous U.S. was aggregated from 10-minute Navy Fleet Numeric Oceanographic Center (NFNOC 1985) data (C. Vörösmarty, personal communication). Aggregated elevation for each 0.5deg. cell was computed as a simple mean of nine 10-minute grid cell modal values. Elevations for inland water bodies are included; non-background cell count = 3261.

Alaska.
The 0.5 degree Alaska grid was aggregated from a 2.5-min Alaska DEM, derived from ETOPO30, the USGS 30-sec worldwide digital terrain grid (Chris Daly, pers com).  Aggregated elevation for each 0.5 degree gridcell was computed using a modified Gaussian filter (after Barnes, 1964).  Elevations for inland water bodies are included; non-background cell count = 1718.
 

5.1.2 Latitude (lat) [degrees and decimal degrees]

Latitude of grid cell center. Positive for North latitudes. All cells are filled with latitude values; there are no background cells.
 

5.1.3 Longitude (lon) [degrees and decimal degrees]

Longitude of cell center. Scaling factor gives negative degrees for West longitudes. All cells are filled with longitude values; there are no background cells.

5.1.4 Absolute Land Area (varea) [km2]

Absolute area of a grid cell that is covered by land and within the VEMAP domain (the conterminous U.S.).  For derivation of varea see the background information on cell area.


6 Daily, Monthly, and Annual Climate Datasets

6.1 Summary of Climate Variables

Table 4. Climate variables. Variable name codes are those used in filenames.
Variable Name Code Description Units
tmax, tmin Maximum, minimum temperature  degrees C
pptx Accumulated precipitation  mm
srad Total incident solar radiation at surface  kJ m-2 day-1
irrx Mean daily irradiance  W m-2
vpxx Vapor pressure  mb
rhum Relative humidity (mean for daylight hours)  fraction[0-1]

6.2  Climate Database Filename Protocol

Table 5:  Filename protocol description.
 
variable name 
domain
period 
GCM experiment 
time step 
release 
grid representation 
# characters 
2
range of possibilities 
irrx 
pptx 
rhum 
srad 
tmax 
tmin 
vpxx 
-
AK
TCLM 
CCC1*
HAD2*
TCC1**
TCH2**
Su 
xx 



4
5 (AK)
*Future period only
**Historical + Future period combined

example #1:    rhumTCLMxxM3i.nc

variable = rhum (relative humidity)
period = TCLM (historical period)
experiment = xx (not applicable for historical period)
time step = M (monthly)
release = 3
grid representation = i (inflated)
example #2:    rhumAKTCLMxxM5i.nc
variable = rhum (relative humidity)
domain = AK (Alaska)
period = TCLM (historical period)
experiment = xx (not applicable for historical period)
time step = M (monthly)
release = 3
grid representation = i (inflated)

6.3 Creation of Climate Variables

Description

As in the VEMAP 1 database, the historical dataset has: (1) daily and monthly versions, (2) physical consistency among variables on a daily basis, (3) consistency between climate and topography, and (4) needed input variables for VEMAP Phase 2 models (minimum and maximum temperature, precipitation, vapor pressure, and solar radiation).

6.3.1  Steps in the Creation of Temperature and Precipitation database - Conterminous U.S.

(1) Input monthly datasets. Monthly mean minimum and maximum temperature (Tmo) and monthly precipitation (PPTmo) historical time series were derived from:
(a) NCDC's Historical Climate Network (HCN) monthly data from 1895 (~1200 stations)

(b) Shorter period (e.g., 1951-1990) cooperative network monthly station data (for an additional ~6000-8000 stations)

(c) SNOTEL site data

This merged input dataset provides a high density of stations and adequate-to-excellent spatial sampling of climate throughout most of the conterminous U.S., including at higher elevations (primarily from the SNOTEL sites).

(2) Serially-complete records. We created serially-complete 99-year monthly min/max Tmo and PPTmo records for climate stations from step (1) using a local (moving-window) kriging model, following Haas (1990, 1995) (Royle et al., in preparation, Kittel et al. 1997). The model imputes monthly climate anomalies where station records are discontinuous or limited in length.

(3) Spatial interpolation with topographic adjustment.The serially complete station data were then passed to Chris Daly (Oregon State University) for spatial interpolation with topographic adjustment. Min/max temperature and precipitation station data were spatially interpolated to the 0.5 degree lat/long VEMAP grid for each month in the 99-yr record using a newly expanded version of PRISM (Daly et al., submitted). PRISM incorporates elevation, aspect, and other topographic information to grid temperature and precipitation data. Daly was funded for this task by USDA Forest Service Global Change Research Program.

Animations of VEMAP historical and future climate.

(4) Daily temperature and precipitation generation. We generated daily min/max temperature and precipitation using a modified version of Richardson's (1981, Richardson and Wright 1984) stochastic weather generator WGEN. The version was provided by Sue Ferguson (USFS) and incorporated modifications from Rick Katz and Linda Mearns (NCAR). For the conterminous U.S. we further modified the code to permit separate parameterizations for wet vs. dry periods in the record (following the work of Dan Wilks).  Data limitations prohibited us from implementing the wet vs. dry period modification for the Alaska dataset.

We parameterized the model based on HCN and coop network daily station data and ran it for the VEMAP grid for the 99-yr record. The daily values were constrained by gridded monthly T and PPT data from step (3), so that the daily and monthly versions of the historical dataset represent the same climate.

As part of our quality checking process, we compared daily statistics from the gridded, generated product and station data. We found that daily frequency distributions and extremes match well for a range of climates across the domain.
 

6.3.2  Steps in the Creation of Temperature and Precipitation database - Alaska

(1) Input monthly datasets. Monthly mean minimum and maximum temperature (Tmo) and monthly precipitation (PPTmo) historical time series were derived from NCDC's Historical Climate Network (HCN) and cooperative network monthly station data from 1922 - 1996 (~250 stations).
(2) Monthly Anomaly time-series. We created a 75-year timeseries of monthly precipitation and temperature anomalies by comparing the historical records against a 2.5 minute gridded 1961-1990 baseline climatology for Alaska (SCAS, 2000), interpolated to the station locations.
(3) Spatial interpolation.  These monthly anomalies were then kriged to the  0.5 degree VEMAP grid.  The monthly anomalies (deltas for temperature, ratios for precipitation) were then applied (added or multiplied) to a 0.5 degree aggregation of the gridded 4km baseline climatology to create the 75-year historical record.

(4) Daily temperature and precipitation generation. We generated daily min/max temperature and precipitation using a modified version of Richardson's (1981, Richardson and Wright 1984) stochastic weather generator WGEN. The version was provided by Sue Ferguson (USFS) and incorporated modifications from Rick Katz and Linda Mearns (NCAR). Data limitations prohibited us from implementing a wet vs. dry period modification for the Alaska dataset.

We parameterized the model based on HCN and coop network daily station data and ran it for the VEMAP Alaska grid for the 75-yr record. The daily values were constrained by gridded monthly T and PPT data from step (3), so that the daily and monthly versions of the historical dataset represent the same climate.

As part of our quality checking process, we compared daily statistics from the gridded, generated product and station data. We found that daily frequency distributions and extremes match well for a range of climates across the domain.

6.3.3 Estimation of Solar Radiation and Humidity - Conterminous U.S. + Alaska

We implemented a new version of MTCLIM (version 4; Thornton 1999, 2000) for VEMAP 2 to create daily (and monthly) vapor pressure (vpxx), daytime relative humidity (rhum), total incident solar radiation (srad), and irradiance (irrx) from daily T and PPT. This version of MTCLIM includes improved estimation of radiation and humidity, as developed by Peter Thornton, Steve Running, John Kimball, and Rob Kremer (U. of Montana) (Kimball et al. 1997, Thornton 1999, 2000).

Generated vapor pressure fields compare well with the Marks (1990) vapor pressure climatology and simulated solar radiation with NCDC/NREL SAMSON data.

6.4 Climate Variable Descriptions

6.4.1 Maximum Temperature  (tmax) [degrees C]

Monthly and annual mean maximum daily temperature.  Synthetically generated daily temperatures (Section 6.3.1; step (4)) were constrained so that their monthly means matched the interpolated long-term monthly maximum temperatures.

6.4.2 Miniumum Temperature  (tmax) [degrees C]

Monthly and annual mean minimum daily temperature.  Synthetically generated daily temperatures (Section 6.3.1; step (4)) were constrained so that their monthly means matched the interpolated long-term monthly maximum temperatures.

6.4.3 Precipitation (pptx) [mm]

Monthly and annual accumulated precipitation.  Synthetically generated daily precipitation (Section 6.3.1; step (4)) was constrained so that accumulated monthly precipitation matched the interpolated long-term monthly totals.

6.4.4 Total Incident Solar Radiation (srad) [kJ m-2 day-1]

Total incident solar radiation at the surface. Generated by MTCLIM4, srad is based on daily potential solar radiation at the top of the atmosphereand an estimate of daily atmospheric transmissivity.  We report srad as daily, monthly and annual average daily values.

6.4.5 Daily Mean Irradiance (irrx) [W m-2]

Daily mean surface irradiance for daylight hours, is derived from MTCLIM4 calculations of total incident solar radiation (srad) and day length, such that, with unit conversion:
 
irrx = srad x (1 day/day length) x (1000J/1kJ)


where day length is in seconds.

6.4.6 Vapor Pressure (vpxx) [mb]

Mean daily, monthly, or annual vapor pressure.

6.4.7 Mean Daylight Relative Humidity (rhum) [%]

Generated by MTCLIM4 with WGEN-generated temperature input. The mean is for daylight hours, as MTCLIM4 calculates relative humidity relative to the saturated vapor pressure for a computed daylight-period temperature mean.


7 Soils

7.1 - Conterminous U.S.
Soil datasets for the conterminous U.S. were developed for Phase 1 of the VEMAP project and are described in the Phase 1 User's Guide.

7.2 - Alaska
McGuire et al., in prep.


8 Vegetation

8.1 Vegetation Types


Table 6. VEMAP vegetation types: vveg identifying code and corresponding VEMAP vegetation type.
vveg.v2 Code Vegetation Type
TUNDRA 
Tundra 
FOREST 
Boreal Coniferous Forest 

(includes Boreal/Temperate Transitional and Temperate Subalpine Forests) 
Maritime Temperate Coniferous Forest 
Continental Temperate Coniferous Forest 
Cool Temperate Mixed Forest 
Warm Temperate/Subtropical Mixed Forest 
Temperate Deciduous Forest 
Tropical Deciduous Forest (not present)** 
Tropical Evergreen Forest (not present) 
XEROMORPHIC WOODLANDS and FORESTS 
10  Temperate Mixed Xeromorphic Woodland 
11  Temperate Conifer Xeromorphic Woodland 
12  Tropical Thorn Woodland (not present) 
SAVANNAS 
13  Temperate Deciduous Savanna
14  Warm Temperate / Subtropical Mixed Savanna 
15  Temperate Conifer Savanna 
16  Tropical Deciduous Savanna (not present) 
GRASSLANDS 
17  C3 Grasslands (includes Short, Mid-, and Tall C3 Grasslands) 
18  C4 Grasslands (includes Short, Mid-, and Tall C4 Grasslands) 
SHRUBLANDS 
19  Mediterranean Shrubland 
20  Temperate Arid Shrubland 
21  Subtropical Arid Shrubland 
EXCLUDED SURFACE TYPES 
90  Ice (not present) 
91  Inland Water Bodies (includes ocean inlets) 
92  Wetlands (includes floodplains and strands) 

** not present = vegetation type is not present in the current distribution of types for the U.S. on the 0.5 degree grid. These types are included because they are outputs of VEMAP biogeographical models where vegetation distribution could change under altered climate and CO2 forcing, and they were used as inputs to selected biogeochemical model runs.
 
 

8.2 Creation of the Vegetation Dataset - Conterminous U.S.

Vegetation types are defined physiognomically in terms of dominant lifeform and leaf characteristics (including leaf seasonal duration, shape, and size) and, in the case of grasslands, physiologically with respect to dominance of species with the C3 versus C4 photosynthetic pathway (Table 6). The physiognomic classification criteria are based on our understanding of vegetation characteristics that influence biogeochemical dynamics (Running et al. 1994). The U.S. distribution of these types is based on a 0.5 degree latitude/longitude gridded map of Küchler's (1964, 1975) potential natural vegetation provided by the TEM group (D. Kicklighter and A.D. McGuire, personal communication). Küchler's map is based on current vegetation and historical information and, for purposes of VEMAP Phase I model experiments, is presumed to represent potential vegetation under current climate and atmospheric CO2 concentrations (355 ppm). The aggregation of Küchler to VEMAP vegetation types is given in Appendix 1.

8.3 Creation of the Vegetation Dataset - Alaska

McGuire et al., in prep.

9 Climate Change Scenarios

9.1 Development of Climate Change Scenarios (TSCENARIO)

 For VEMAP Phase 2, a major objective was to develop transient climate change scenarios based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) transient climate experiments. The purpose of these scenarios is to reflect time-dependent changes in surface climate from AOGCMs in terms of both (1) long-term trends and (2) changes in multiyear (3-5 yr) to decadal variability patterns, such as ENSO.

We have processed scenarios from transient greenhouse gas experiments with sulfate aerosols from the Canadian Climate Center (CCC) and the Hadley Centre (HADCM2; Mitchell et al. 1995, Johns et al. 1997); accessed via the Climate Impacts LINK Project, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia.

 Animations of climate scenarios.

9.2 Experimental Design

Two principal model experiments were run.  First, a series of ecosystem models were run from 1895 to 1993 to simulate current ecosystem biogeochemistry.  Second, these same models were integrated forward using the output from the climate system models (Canadian Climate Center (CCC) and Hadley Centre models) using climate results translated into the VEMAP grid and re-adjusted for high-resolution topography for the simulated period 1994-2100.


10 Findings

The models agree fairly well for the mean fluxes in the late 20th century, suggesting a sink due to CO2 fertilization, climate, and agriculture of less than 0.1 gigatons of carbon (Gt C) per year. The models agree in the mean within about 25%, although they differ somewhat in their simulation of interannual variability. The models agree in simulating a high sensitivity to drought, which they predict should release carbon to the atmosphere (Schimel et al., 2000 [Abstract]). The estimated value for the CO2 fertilization sink, 0.08 Gt C per year, is a small fraction of the sink actually estimated for the U.S. using direct observations (0.3-0.7) and suggests that changes in land use practices, including agricultural abandonment and fire suppression, dominate the sink in the U.S. The models provide an interesting view of the future. Three of the models used do not include any disturbance (e.g., fire or harvest) practices. They agree reasonably well in suggesting a steady sink from CO2 fertilization interacting with climate change (This figure shows results from the VEMAP models, showing the historical (1895-1993) and future climate scenario results.).Three of the models include disturbance. In two models, LPJ (Lund-Potsdam-Jena) and MC1 (MAPSS-Century 1), disturbance is included via a prognostic fire model. In the third, Century, the model is forced by assumed fire and harvest return frequencies. All three models suggest a much lower accumulation of carbon because of chronic losses due to disturbance. One model (MC1) suggests that climate changes in the mid-century could trigger large scale fires with substantial losses of carbon. The other is less sensitive to the mid-century climate but shows losses accelerating in the late 21st century. Clearly, the role of disturbance and land management must be the priority for the next round of model development, testing, and applications.

Access to the VEMAP model results files from the Community Datasets.


11 Supplemental Datasets

We are releasing several supplemental datasets, developed in the process of creating VEMAP 2 climate.  The first of these is a 100-year detrended climate time-series (TSPIN) which was used by ecosystem modelers to bring their models into equilibrium before being driven by the VEMAP 2 transient climate.  A complementary 75-year dataset exists for Alaska (TSPINAK).  We created the detrended spinup climates by first subtracting a 30yr moving window from the historical timeseries, thus creating a smoothed anomaly record that preserves the structure and much of the variability of the historical record. We then added back a constant value representing the first 15 years of the historical record by month (e.g., 1895-1909 for the conterminuous U.S., and 1922-1936 for Alaska). Adding this period mean to the anomaly field ensures a smooth transition from the detrended spinup period into the historical record. We also developed GCM simulations of 20th century climate using HADCM2 and CGCM1 for both the conterminous U.S. (Suh) and Alaska (SuhAK).  These GCM simulations were not used in the VEMAP modeling exercise, have not been widely tested, and are considered beta versions.  Please report errors to the VEMAP data group.

Access to these Supplemental Datasets is through the Community Data Portal.
 

12 Acknowledgements

Development of the VEMAP database was supported by VEMAP sponsors (NASA Mission to Planet Earth, Electric Power Research Institute, and USDA Forest Service Southern Region Global Change Research Program) and by the National Science Foundation. We thank Lou Pitelka, Susan Fox, Tony Janetos, and Hermann Gucinski for their support of VEMAP. Thanks to Hank Fisher, Cristina Kaufman, and Steve Aulenbach for programming and data management support, Susan Chavez and Gaylynn Potemkin for administrative support, Chris Daly, Roy Jenne, Dennis Joseph, and Will Spangler for access to datasets and model output, and Jeff Kuehn and NCAR's Climate and Global Dynamics Division for computer systems support. We thank Rick Katz, Dennis Shea, David Schimel, VEMAP participants, and other users for document review and dataset evaluation. Linda Mearns, Rick Katz, and Dennis Shea also provided comments on daily climate dataset design. We wish to thank StatSci, and NCAR's Scientific Computing Division for technical support. NCAR is supported by the National Science Foundation.


13 Contacts

Direct enquiries and comments regarding the VEMAP dataset to the VEMAP Data Group.


14 References

Barnes SL (1964)  A technique for maximizing details in numerical weather map analysis.  J Appl Meteor 3: 396-409

Kimball, J. S.W. Running, and R. Nemani (1996) An improved method for estimating surface humidity from daily minimum temperature. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, in press.

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A1 Appendix 1: Aggregation of Küchler Vegetation Codes to  VEMAP Vegetation types

Table A3.1 Aggregation of Küchler vegetation types to VEMAP vegetation types.
Names of Küchler types can be found in the VEMAP Phase 1 Users Guide.
VVEG VEMAP Vegetation Type Küchler Vegetation Types


vveg.v2
Tundra  52 
Boreal coniferous forest  15, 21, 93, 96 
Temperate maritime coniferous forest  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 
Temperate continental coniferous forest  8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 95 
Cool temperate mixed forest 106, 107, 108, 109, 110 
Warm temperate/ subtropical mixed forest  26, 28, 29, 89, 90, 111, 112 
Temperate deciduous forest  98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104 
Tropical deciduous forest  not present 
Tropical evergreen forest  not present 
10  Temperate mixed xeromorphic woodland  30, 31, 32, 36, 37 
11  Temperate conifer xeromorphic woodland  23 
12  Tropical thorn woodland  not present 
13  (v1) Temperate/subtropical deciduous savanna 71, 81, 82, 84, 88 

(v2) Temperate deciduous savanna 
14  Warm temperate/ subtropical mixed savanna  60, 61, 62, 83, 85, 86, 87 
15  Temperate conifer savanna  24 
16  Tropical deciduous savanna  not present
17 C3 grasslands  47, 48, 50, 51, 63, 64, 66, 67, 68 
18  C4 grasslands  53, 54, 65, 69, 70, 74, 75, 76, 77 
19  Mediterranean shrubland  33, 34, 35 
20  Temperate arid shrubland  38, 39, 40, 46, 55, 56, 57 
21  Subtropical arid shrubland  41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 58, 59 
90  Ice  not present
91  Inland water bodies  no symbol 
92  Wetlands  49, 78, 79, 80, 92, 94, 113, 114 


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