2013 NCAR IAM Group Annual Meeting Presentations

Meeting Presentations: August 19 - 20, 2013

Day 1: Introduction

• IAM Group Overview and Introduction, Brian O'Neill

Day 1: Spatial Modeling 1

• Spatial projections of population density, Bryan Jones
• Spatial projections of population density, Galen Maclaurin
• Spatial projections of urban extent, Dan Runfola
• Progress on a spatial allocation model of agricultural land use change, Prasanth Meiyappan

Day 1: Spatial Modeling 2

• Predictive modeling of rural land development, Stefan Leyk
• Spatial statistics, Doug Nychka
• Spatial prediction of multimodel climate change pattern scaling, Jordan Winkler

Day 1: Climate Change Impacts

• Near-term temperature changes and global crop yields: CMIP vs. Big Ensemble, Claudia Tebaldi
• Climate change impacts on recent crop yield trends and rural migration patterns, Rachel Licker
• Environment and migration in Mexico, Lori Hunter

Day 1: Socio-Economic Pathways

• Integrating uncertainties for climate change, Joeri Rogelj
• Implementing the Shared Socio-economic Pathways in the International Futures (IFs) model, Dale Rothman
• iPETS scenarios for Latin America, Bas van Ruijven/Xiaolin Ren

Day 2: iPETS Model Implementation

• Experiments with parallelizing the iPETS model solution algorithm, Rich Loft
• Implementing iPETS in the GAMS programming language, Ed Balistreri

Day 2: Energy and Land Use

• Improving the representation of renewables in IAMs, Doug Arent/Patrick Sullivan
• Changes in Mexico's wealth andhousehold energy consumption, Landy Sanchez
• Climate effects of land use change, Peter Lawrence

Day 2: Drivers of Emissions and Vulnerability

• Nonlinearities in the GDP-carbon relationship, Brant Liddle
• Relationships among scenario drivers: Consistency of historical data and model outputs, Leiwen Jiang
• Weather, climate and health, Mary Hayden
• Population exposure to climate hazards, Bryan Jones